[Global Times-Global Network Report, reporter Guo Yuandan Xu Keyue Yang Sheng]On the 9th local time,The US State Department announced that "the self-restriction in the'US-Taiwan relations' is lifted" Evan Medeiros, the senior director of Asian affairs at the Obama National Security Council, described this decision as "the most important public relations gimmick."Chinese experts believe thatChina opposes any form of official exchanges between the US and Taiwan,China must resolutely safeguard national sovereignty,Make a tit-for-tat response.There are many measures the mainland can take against Taiwan,As for when to take,What to take is up to the mainland to decide,At this critical time point, diplomatic means should be the main focus.Supplemented by military means.
Obama-era officials: “The most important public relations stunt" will anger Beijing
On the 9th local time,US Secretary of State Pompeo issued a statement saying,"I announced today the abolition of all these self-restrictions.The administrative agency department should consider the previous ‘contact guidelines' for ‘Taiwan relations' issued by the State Council under the authorization of the Secretary of State to be invalid and invalid.In addition,Any and all chapters of the'Foreign Affairs Guide' or the'Handbook of Foreign Affairs' that authorize or claim that the administrative department will contact Taiwan through any entity other than the American Institute in Taiwan are also invalidated.According to the "Taiwan Relations Act",The ‘Taiwan relations' of the administration must be handled through the non-profit American Taiwan Association."
Taiwan's "Central News Agency" quoted ‘diplomats' familiar with ‘US-Taiwan relations' as saying,This is the "largest range of adjustments" the United States has made to the "U.S.-Taiwan relations" rules of exchange in recent years.The spokesperson of Taiwan's “Presidential Palace" responded,This statement fully reflects the "solid partnership" between Taiwan and the United States,The same attitude will be adopted in the future,On the existing solid foundation,Continue to strive for cross-party cooperation in the United States,Deepen the "Taiwan-US partnership."
Evan Medeiros, the senior director of Asian affairs for the Obama National Security Council, described this decision as "the most important public relations gimmick."And thought that this would anger Beijing,Damage the relationship with Taiwan."If Pompeo feels so strong,Why didn't you do this a year ago,Deal with the consequences yourself?"Two weeks before (Biden) took office,He did nothing,It just politicizes the Taiwan issue-this is not good for Taiwan."
In less than two weeks after the transfer of U.S. power,The US Trump administration frequently plays the "Taiwan card",At the last moment, the Taiwan-related issues in Sino-US relations have become hotter than ever.On the morning of the 7th,The U.S. and Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party authorities conducted political and military dialogue through video; on the 9th,Pompeo announced the lifting of self-restrictions in the "US-Taiwan relations"; from the 13th to the 15th,U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Kraft will lead a delegation to visit Taiwan.
Lu Xiang, an expert on American issues at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, believes thatPompeo hopes to use his last few days as Secretary of State to make a lot of noise between China and the United States.So that it can use China as the biggest capital in future political careers,Add value to yourself.
What attitude might the Biden administration adopt in the future?
Many experts said,The U.S. move is very despicable,On the one hand, it further deteriorates Sino-US relations,It created obstacles for the Biden administration to ease Sino-US relations; on the other hand, it urged the Taiwan Democratic Progressive Party to cope with the United States to do things that harm cross-strait relations.How Biden, who took over as President of the United States on the 20th, treated Pompeo's latest statement,It will become an important indicator of how Pompeo's move affects Sino-US relations.
Zhu Songling, a professor at the Taiwan Research Institute of Beijing Union University, said in an interview with the Global Times on the 10th,Pompeo's statement means that in the future, the United States will change its handling of the "US-Taiwan relations" in the future.The impact is very big.
Song Guoyou, deputy director of the Center for American Studies at Fudan University, told the Global Times,Pompeo's move has a strong symbolic meaning.Simultaneously,It also has a very substantial significance in different contexts."It mainly depends on two factors,On the one hand, it is whether the United States will take any further action during the 10 days of the transfer of the US power.On the other hand, look at how the Biden administration will implement this policy in the future."
Song Guoyou said,Once the United States lifts its self-restrictions in the "U.S.-Taiwan relations",It means no longer fulfilling the relevant provisions in the three Sino-US joint communiqués.Can visit Taiwan for high-level officials,Once it enters the practical stage, it will directly damage China's sovereign interests.After Bi was on stage,Can continue or overturn or cancel the policies introduced by the Trump administration and the US State Department,Therefore, the development of "U.S.-Taiwan relations" currently has great uncertainty.After Biden takes office, how to handle the "US-Taiwan relations" from the perspective of Sino-US interests still needs to be observed.
The Financial Times reported,An official of the Biden Transitional Committee said,During the campaign, Biden made it clear that he would be committed to the "Taiwan Relations Act" enacted in 1979 and adhere to the One China policy.The official said,"Once in office,He will continue to support the peaceful settlement of cross-strait issues,This conforms to the wishes and best interests of the people of Taiwan."He kept saying,U.S. support for Taiwan must remain strong and principled."
Li Haidong, a professor at the China Foreign Affairs University, told the Global Times,Judging from the response of the Biden team,The Biden team's Taiwan-related issues regarding China's policy are highly predictable.stability,It has the characteristics of returning to the past consensus on Taiwan-related issues in US China policy over the past 40 years.Therefore, it can be judged that after the Biden administration cameChina policy, especially Taiwan-related issues, will be very cautious.But it is worth noting thatThe Biden team mentioned the "Taiwan Relations Act",One China policy,But did not mention the three Sino-US joint communiqués,It also reflects Biden's biased approach to Taiwan-related issues in the future."It is not ruled out that the Biden administration may play tricks on certain issues.For example, how to define ‘one China'.”
Li Haidong believes thatPompeo tried to frame the Taiwan issue as a priority issue after the Biden administration took office.But in fact,After Biden took office, his priority was to deal with domestic issues in the United States.The Taiwan issue is a very late issue.This is the biggest difference between the two.
but,The other two scholars are not optimistic.Zhu Songling believes,We cannot place too much hope on the Biden administration at the moment,Whether it is the government in the United States,Two parties,People are dissatisfied with China,After Biden takes office, it is unlikely that a package will overturn the Trump-era policies.
Diao Daming, associate professor of the School of International Relations at Renmin University of China, said in an interview with the Global Times,Pompeo's move is a sharp sword in his head.The Biden administration may not be able to repair the Sino-U.S. relationship, which is constantly hitting the bottom line.If this move is approved by Trump,It is undoubtedly difficult to harvest.After Bi was on stage,It may also put the "restriction removal" on hold,More inclined to strengthen Taiwan's political model in the ideological field.
It is not ruled out that the Trump administration will still have "final madness". Experts suggest that China should respond mainly to diplomacy and military
The United States is currently facing a transition of power,There are still 10 days,Biden will officially take office.Regarding whether Trump will have crazier actions in the next 10 days to impact and destroy Sino-US relations,Further challenge the bottom line of China,Song Guoyou believes that we should pay close attention to it.It is not ruled out that Trump will have "final madness".
Diao Daming said,Pompeo's move is to institutionalize US-Taiwan exchanges.Therefore, it is possible to continue to play the "Taiwan card" in the last time of the Trump administration.The possibility of higher-level officials visiting Taiwan exists.
anyway,The U.S. ambassador to the United Nations who visited Taiwan on the 13th became the first case after Pompeo announced the abolition of self-restrictions in the "U.S.-Taiwan relations".Song Guoyou thinks this is extremely confrontational,Conflicting measures,Greatly challenged China's bottom line,Harm China's interests,China will respond.Song Guoyou believes thatChina must resolutely safeguard national sovereignty,Respond tit-for-tat, Take corresponding measures,For example, severe measures such as corresponding sanctions on relevant U.S. officials,Also use this to show China's bottom line to the Biden administration,Prevent the Biden administration from taking measures to further deteriorate Sino-US relations.
Li Haidong believes thatThere are many measures the mainland can take against Taiwan,As for when to take,What to take is up to the mainland to decide,Won't dance with America,Instead, respond at your own pace."At this critical time point, diplomatic means should be the mainstay.Supplemented by military means.For example, when the US Ambassador to the United Nations visited Taiwan,And had extremely bad and provocative voices during the visit to Taiwan,We are giving severe warnings,Should not rule out military exercises,And sending military aircraft to cruise over Taiwan,This is part of our airspace,We have every reason to do this.”